This study synthesizes relevant research and commentary on real estate cycles in a micro-decision-making context and discusses their strategic implications for investors and portfolio managers. It begins with an extensive review of the macro-economic, micro-economic and practitioner literature...

"Rigorous analysis of cycles in the economy began with Wesley Michell's Business Cycles: The Problem and the Setting. Michell's work was a much broader examination then Irving Fisher's much earlier study, The Rate of Interest, that formalized the linkage between inflation and interest rates. The...

Traditional real estate valuation models stabilize cash flow variables in a single- or multi-year pro forma, assume efficient markets, and impute property return/risk expectations into a current overall market capitalization rate to determine value. This traditional valuation framework is biased...

Inflation and inflation cycles have been a major underlying reason for the financial successes and failures of real estate investors in recent history. These cycles have complex impacts on cash flow variables and thus on real estate returns and investment values. This study presents a decision...