Basic Probability Theory and Markov Chains -- Estimation Techniques -- Non-Parametric Method of Estimation -- Unit Root, Cointegration and Related Issues -- VAR Modeling -- Time Varying Volatility Models -- State-Space Models (I) -- State-Space Models (II) -- Discrete Time Real Asset Valuation...

The existence of risk premium is thought to be the reason why forward exchange rate is not an unbiased predictor of future spot exchange rate. In this paper we review two methodologies for inferring this unobserved risk premium based upon signal extraction mechanism. One approach relies on the...

In this paper we adopt the Markov-switching heteroscedasticity model to analyse the inflation series for G7 countries and examine the interaction between inflation rate and its uncertainty over both the short- and long-run. It is found that the relationship between inflation and inflation...

<heading id="h1" level="1" implicit="yes" format="display">ABSTRACT</heading> This paper measures the level by which global oil price returns influence the stock returns and volatility in the BRIC equity markets and observes the time-varying conditional correlation between BRIC equity returns and oil price returns. The study concludes that the level of impact of...

Purpose – To provide an alternative channel of investigation of comovement in four large European equity markets over a sample period of nearly 30 years. Design/methodology/approach – The paper adopts a two stage methodological approach. In the first instance, the interaction between the...

The existence of risk premium is thought to be the reason why forward exchange rate is not an unbiased predictor of future spot exchange rate. In this paper we review two methodologies for inferring this unobserved risk premium based upon signal extraction mechanism. One approach relies on the...