Information about credit quality is uncertain and varies across debt maturity. We show that an ambiguity-averse firm manager will avoid maturities with ambiguous credit information. We thus hypothesize that firms choose maturity structures where perceived credit quality uncertainty is lower....

This paper investigates the effects of dynamic capital market conditions in a general equilibrium model, employing a process of switching steady-state levels of the volatility of market conditions (SS-uncertainty). Decision-makers predict SS-uncertainty regimes using past fundamental shocks, but...

Credit information quality is uncertain and varies across corporate bonds. We hypothesize that bond funds adjust their bond holdings to reduce perceived credit quality uncertainty if fund managers dislike ambiguity. Using statistical proximity measures of firm survival probabilities predicted by...

This paper proposes empirical methods to measure Credit Default Swap (CDS) return and explores its factor structure. We find that approximated CDS returns deviate significantly from actual returns based on the upfront fee, computed with protection sellers' cash flows. Past CDS returns and the...

This paper considers asset pricing models with stochastic differential utility incorporating decision makers' concern with ambiguity on true probability measure. Under a representative agent setting, we empirically evaluate alternative preference specifications including a multiple-priors...

This paper empirically studies the role of macro-factors in explaining and predicting daily bond yields. In general, macro-finance models use low-frequency data to match with macroeconomic variables available only at low frequencies. To deal with this, we construct and estimate a tractable...

This paper takes an option-theoretic approach to explain why pricing anomalies are observed when traditional CAPM is used. By extending CAPM to incorporate the option-risk factor of stocks, we show that stockholders' limited liability can explain Fama and French's size and value effects. We use...