We develop a performance measure, termed MAP, which is based on the concept of ambiguity aversion, and is pertinent for actively managed funds that follow opaque investment strategies. When investors are ambiguity averse, our empirical evidence refutes the notion that many actively managed...

This paper proposes a measure of exchange rate disconnect. Working in a two-currency international economy, our theory implies that the disconnect is the ratio of two martingales. Weanalyze empirically our measure of disconnect using 406 pairs of economies to reveal a geography of disconnect....

We consider an incomplete markets international economy in discrete-time. The first result is an impossibility theorem showing that if cross-currency no-arbitrage is to hold, the exchange rate cannot be a stationary process in levels. The second result is a system of stochastic discount factor...

We investigate the dynamic and asymmetric dependence structure between equity portfolios from the US and UK. We demonstrate the statistical significance of dynamic asymmetric copula models in modelling and forecasting market risk. First, we construct "high-minus-low" equity portfolios sorted on...

The goal of Section I is to show the economic foundations for the form of the distortion function A[dt; κ] in equation (2). This is formalized through Proposition IA3 and Corollary IA4.Section II contains the proof of axiomatic consistency properties of the MAP performance measure (Section...

We present a new term-structure model for commodity futures prices based on Trolle and Schwartz (2009) which we extend by incorporating multiple jump processes. Our work explores the valuation of plain vanilla options on futures prices when the spot price follows a log-normal process, the...