The key feature of endogenous growth models is that they imply that permanent changes in government policy can have permanent effects on growth rates. In this paper, we develop and implement an empirical framework to test this implication. In a regression of growth rates on current and lagged...

This paper uses a global input-output framework to quantify US and EU demand spillovers and the elasticity of world trade to GDP during the global recession of 2008-2009. We find that 20-30 percent of the decline in the US and EU demand was borne by foreign countries, with NAFTA, Emerging...

Recent empirical research finds that pairs of countries with stronger trade linkages tend to have more highly correlated business cycles. We assess whether the standard international business cycle framework can replicate this intuitive result. We employ a three-country model with transportation...