Barnhart, Scott W.; McNown, Robert; Wallace, Myles S. - In: Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 34 (1999) 02, pp. 265-291
This paper reexamines a familiar but unsettling result in the foreign exchange literature: that the forward rate is not an unbiased predictor of the future spot rate. The paper outlines why some frequently used tests of unbiasedness are non-informative in the sense that they are incapable of...