Duffie, Darrel; Saita, Leandro; Wang, Ke - Center for Advanced Research in Finance, Faculty of … - 2005
We provide maximum likelihood estimators of term structures of conditional probabilities of corporate default, incorporating the dynamics of firm-specific and macroeconomic covariates. For U.S. Industrial firms, based on over 390,000 firm-months of data spanning 1979 to 2004, the level and shape...