A few years after the introduction of the Amato and Dini laws, a renewed debate on reforming the Italian pension system and on modifying its structure and technical parameters is taking place. The present work simulates individual reactions to systemic changes, distinguishing among the different...

At tbe IBM Pisa Scientific Center an interactive package has been developed under CP-67/CMS, which is particularly helpful when the data to be processed are time series. The interactive facilities of the operating system CP-67/CMS are strenghtened in such a way as to allow an easy interactive...

In this paper we consider the estimation of some stochastic differential equation models by an indirect estimation method proposed by Gourieroux, Monfort and Renault (1993) using discrete data. The performance of this method is analysed via Monte Carlo experiments. In particular, we examine the...

The evaluation of policy actions by means of macroeconomic models often begins with the analysis of multipliers. A rough analysis recommends to use those instruments that exhibit large multipliers. Government budget usually imposes some constraints on the policy action. Insted of the raw...

When dealing with nonlinear econometric models, resort is often made to simulation techniques for the investigation of their dynamic properties. A spectral analysis using stochastic and analytic simulation is carried out on a nonlinear model of the Italian economy. The two approaces are...

Some analytic simulation techniques for the analysis of the reduced form and of the dynamic properties of econometric models are described. Comparisons are made with analytical methods available for linear models.