The Gaussian quasi-maximum likelihood estimator of Multivariate GARCH models is shown to be very sensitive to outliers in the data. A class of robust M-estimators for MGARCH models is developed. To increase the robustness of the estimators, the use of volatility models with the property of...

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This paper compares Bayesian estimators with different prior choices for the time variation of the coefficients of Time Varying Parameter Vector Autoregression models using Monte Carlo Simulations. Since the commonly used prior choice only allows for a tiny amount of time variation, less...

Robust versions of the exponential and Holt-Winters smoothing method for forecasting are presented. They are suitable for forecasting univariate time series in the presence of outliers. The robust exponential and Holt-Winters smoothing methods are presented as recursive updating schemes that...

In this paper, the influence functions and limiting distributions of the canonical correlations and coefficients based on affine equivariant scatter matrices are developed for elliptically symmetric distributions. General formulas for limiting variances and covariances of the canonical...

In this paper it is studied how observations in the training sample affect the misclassification probability of a quadratic discriminant rule. An approach based on partial influence functions is followed. It allows to quantify the effect of observations in the training sample on the performance...

In this paper we introduce the least-trimmed squares estimator for multivariate regression. We give three equivalent formulations of the estimator and obtain its breakdown point. A fast algorithm for its computation is proposed. We prove Fisher-consistency at the multivariate regression model...