The objective of this paper is to investigate the performance of different Value-at-Risk (VaR) models in the context of risk assessment in hog production. The paper starts with a description of traditional VaR models, i.e. Variance-Covariance-Method (VCM) and Historical Simulation (HS). We...

German hog production only responds in a very limited way to price fluctuations in the pork market. The hog production concentrates on a few regions though it is not bound to special natural conditions such as soil quality. Furthermore, the volume of production does not vary over time....

This study examines problems that may occur when conventional Value‐at‐Risk (VaR) estimators are used to quantify market risks in an agricultural context. For example, standard VaR methods, such as the variance‐covariance method or historical simulation, can fail when the return...

Quantification of Market Risk in Livestock Production Using Value-at-Risk and Extreme-Value-TheoryThe objective of this paper is to investigate the performance of different Value-at-Risk (VaR) models in the context of risk assessment in hog production. The paper starts with a description of...

In diesem Beitrag wird eine Niederschlagsoption unter Anwendung der Burn-Analysis, der Index-Value-Simulation und der Daily-Simulation bewertet. Dazu wird auf der Grundlage empirischer Wetterdaten aus Deutschland (Niederschlagsmengen aus Brandenburg) ein Tagesniederschlagsmodell entwickelt....

Angesichts der wochenlangen Dürre in diesem Sommer stellt die Bundesregierung den besonders von Ernteausfällen betroffenen deutschen Landwirten Finanzhilfen in Höhe bis 170 Mio. Euro in Aussicht, falls sich die Bundesländer mit der gleichen Summe beteiligen. Nicht jeder sieht die Nothilfen,...

Structural change in agriculture is characterized by the interdependency of farms' growth decisions due to the limited availability of the production factor land. This paper adds to the sparse empirical literature on the relation between land market concentration and farm size changes,...

The price increases on agricultural land markets in the last decade have triggered a debate about land as an attractive investment opportunity for agricultural and non-agricultural investors. In a static environment, the rent-price ratio provides a first indicator of the profitability of an...