Welch and Goyal (2008) find that numerous economic variables with in-sample predictive ability for the equity premium fail to deliver consistent out-of-sample forecasting gains relative to the historical average. Arguing that model uncertainty and instability seriously impair the forecasting...

Forecasting macroeconomic variables using diffusion indexes in short samples with structural change / Anindya Banerjee, Massimiliano Marcellino, Igor Masten -- Predictive inference under model misspecification / Nii Ayi Armah, Norman R. Swanson -- Forecasting persistent data with possible...

We investigate the intertemporal hedging demands for stocks and bonds for investors in the U.S., Australia, Canada, France, Germany, Italy, and U.K. Using the methodology of Campbell etal. [Campbell, J.Y., Chan, Y.L., Viceira, L.M., 2003a. A multivariate model of strategic asset allocation....