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Uncertainty plays a significant role in evaluating climate policy, and fat-tailed uncertainty may dominate policy advice. Should we make our utmost effort to prevent the arbitrarily large impacts of climate change under deep uncertainty? In order to answer to this question, we propose a new way...
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This article proposes a new approach to estimate the effect of the unemployment rate on the labor participation ratio by sex and age. OECD labor participation ratios are estimated within an unobservable component model with the Kalman filter. This allows for treating the trend of the...
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La conjonction de chocs économiques violents qui se sont succédés depuis l’été 2007 (crise financière internationale initiée par l’éclatement de la bulle immobilière aux États-Unis, envolée du prix des matières premières, nouveau recul du dollar par rapport à l’euro) a cassé...
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