This paper presents a framework based on correlation analysis to test for contagion during the episode of financial turmoil surrounding the Asian crisis. In particular, we calculate conditional and unconditional correlation coefficients for 15 countries. We advocate the use of synchronous...

In this paper we investigate the ability of different models to produce useful VaR-estimates for exchange rate positions. We make a distinction between models that include sophisticated tail properties and models that do not. The former type of models often leads to too extreme VaR-estimates,...

This paper empirically investigates a method to quantify volatility using the information content of index options. We derive the parameters of a GARCH option pricing model from the term structure of the observed market smile of DAX 30 index. We find the EGARCH option pricing model (Duan, 1995)...

In this paper we investigate the ability of different models to produce useful VaR-estimates for exchange rate positions. We make a distinction between models that include sophisticated tail properties and models that do not. The former type of models often leads to too extreme VaR-estimates,...

In this paper, we empirically investigate the impact of the credit risk of Eurozone member countries on the stability of the Euro. In the absence of a common euro bond, euro-area credit risk is induced though the credit default swaps of the member countries. The stability of the euro is examined...

This paper sets the background for the Special Issue of the Journal of Empirical Finance on the European Sovereign Debt Crisis. It identifies the channel through which risks in the financial industry leaked into the public sector. It discusses the role of the bank rescues in igniting the...