Corporate bonds carry a premium of extreme illiquidity (EIL). This premium permeates all rating categories and heightens in times of stress and periods with high uncertainty. EIL has predictive power in the cross-section for future returns up to at least a one-year horizon. Active investors like...

This paper documents substantial evidence of return predictability and investment gains for individual corporate bonds via machine learning. The forecast-implied long-short and market-timing strategies deliver significant risk-adjusted returns over transaction costs. Random Forest has the best...

Using a robust textual analytic method, we decompose the P2P loan description into common and distinctive contents, which contain general and unique information provided by borrowers. We then investigate the role of the distinctive content in affecting P2P lending decisions and outcomes....