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Modelling comovements amongst multiple economic variables takes up a relevant part of the literature in time series econometrics. Comovement can be defined as 'move together', that is as movement that several series have in common. The pattern of the series could be of different nature, such as...
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This note concerns with the marginal models associated with a given vector autoregressive model. In particular, it is shown that a reduction in the orders of the univariate ARMA marginal models can be determined by the presence of variables integrated with different orders. The concepts and...
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This paper considers methods for forecasting macroeconomic time series in a framework where the number of predictors, N, is too large to apply traditional regression models but not sufficiently large to resort to statistical inference based on double asymptotics. Our interest is motivated by a...
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This paper considers cointegration tests for dynamic systems where the number of variables is large relative to the sample size. Typical examples include tests for unit roots in panels, where the units are linked by complicated dynamic relationships. It is well known that conventional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013070773
This paper contributes to the econometric literature on structural breaks by proposing a test for parameter stability in VAR models at a particular frequency amp;#969;, where amp;#969; amp;#8712; [0, amp;#960;]. When a dynamic model is affected by a structural break, the new tests allow for detecting which...
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This paper explores the possibility of cointegration existing between processes integrated at different frequencies. Using the demodulator operator, we show that such cointegration can exist and explore its form using both complex- and real-valued representations. A straightforward approach to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012823369
In this paper we overview the literature on common features analysis of economic time series. Starting from the seminal contributions by Engle and Kozicki (1993) and Vahid and Engle (1993), we present and discuss the various notions that have been proposed to detect and model common cyclical...
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