This paper examines the dynamics of returns and order imbalances across the KOSPI 200 cash, futures and option markets. The information effect is more dominant than the liquidity effect in these markets. In addition, returns have more predictability power for the future movements of prices than...

This study examines the impacts of net buying pressure on implied volatility, and documents the fact that Bollen and Whaley (2004)'s net buying pressure hypothesis does not hold in the daily data of the KOSPI200 options market. In addition, using intraday data, we show that the net buying...

Duarte and Young (2009) decompose PIN into adjusted PIN (AdjPIN) and probability of trading caused by symmetric order flow shocks (PSOS). We explore sources of PSOS in the Korean stock market and examine the relation between PSOS and stock returns. Using transaction data with trader types and...

We develop an efficient Monte Carlo simulation-based methodology for value at risk (VaR) and sensitivity analysis of mortgage-backed securities (MBS) that employs an importance sampling technique developed for quadratic VaR models. Our approach, whose validity is derived from a fundamental...

Independent sector assumption in the CreditRisk+ has been a major obstacle to implementing the model. Attempts to overcome this limitation have not gained much success. This paper proposes an extension of the original model which accommodates a wide range of sector covariance structures....

We estimate an ex ante probability of extreme negative returns (crashes) of individual stocks as a measure of potential overpricing and find that stocks with a high probability of crashes earn abnormally low returns. Stocks with high crash probability are overpriced regardless of the level of...

We develop a conditional version of the consumption capital asset pricing model (CCAPM) using the conditioning variable from the cointegrating relation among macroeconomic variables (dividend yield, term spread, default spread, and short-term interest rate). Our conditioning variable has a...