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This paper describes the regional extension of USAGE-ITC, a 500-order dynamic CGE model of the US that we are developing in collaboration with the International Trade Commission. With the regional extension, USAGE-ITC can project the effects on employment and output by state of policy and other...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004968022
This paper describes historical and decomposition simulations undertaken for 1992 to 1998 with a 500-sector CGE model of the US. The historical simulation provides estimates of movements in unobservable technology and preference variables. The decomposition simulation explains developments in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004968023
USAGE is a 500 industry dynamic computable general equilibrium model of the US economy being developed at Monash University in collaboration with the US International Trade Commission. In common with the MONASH model of Australia, USAGE is designed for four modes of analysis: Historical, where...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004968034
We use a 500-industry CGE model of the U.S. to simulate the macro, industry and state effects of removing major U.S. tariffs and quotas. We find that this would generate a welfare gain of 0.07 per cent. For most industries, the output change would be negligible but for sugar, butter and several...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004968038
The largest computable general equilibrium (CGE) models currently in operation produce forecasts for about 100 commodities (goods and services). This level of detail may seem overwhelming to macroeconomists, but is often inadequate for micro planning. For example, a forecast for business...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004968044
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008643083
Simulations with dynamic, single country, CGE models typically imply that reductions in domestic demand, e.g. a cut in investment, generate increases in exports and reductions in imports facilitated by real depreciation. However, currently in the U.S. a large reduction in investment is occurring...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008861702
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000316978
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000049176
This paper discusses the early establishment in Australia of CGE modeling as a major policy tool. As background, it provides a short history of CGE modeling and describes the impetus to the field from: (a) the failure of less theoretically formal approaches; and (b) the recognition that this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009415566