This article provides a Bayesian method of estimating the marginal posterior distributions for stochastic discount factors associated with observed asset returns. These estimates can be used to provide measures of fit for asset pricing models and to identify broad features of the characteristics...

We make use of a recently developed method to estimate the intertemporal marginal rate of substitution consistent with the fluctuations of asset return data from the Toronto Stock Exchange. These estimates are then used to evaluate various parametric specifications for preferences often used in...

Researchers who wish to estimate factor demands using flexible functional forms may now choose from several candidates supplied by the theoretical literature. Unfortunately, the criteria for a priori model selection are not clear. This paper adopts the use of Bayesian methods and argues that...

If individual voters observe the true ranking on a set of alternatives with error, then the social choice problem, that is, the problem of aggregating their observations, is one of statistical inference. This study develops a statistical methodology that can be used to evaluate the properties of...

We approach the social choice problem as one of optimal statistical inference. If individual voters or judges observe the true order ona set of alternatives with error, then it is possible to use the set of individual rankings to make probability statements about the correct social order. Given...

The literature on structural breaks focuses on ex post identification of break points that may have occurred in the past. While this question is important, a more challenging problem facing econometricians is to provide forecasts when the data generating process is unstable. The purpose of this...

The paper compares the empirical performance of two recently suggested techniques for estimating Multinomial Probit (MNP) models. The application concerns the choice of the first practice location of general practitioners in Quebec (Canada). Regional similarities are accounted for by modeling...

If individual voters observe the true ranking on a set of alternatives with error, then the problem of aggregating their observations is one of statistical inference. This study develops a statistical methodology that can be used to evaluate the properties of a given voting or aggregation rule....