We compile option-implied tail loss and gain measures based on a deep out-of-the- money option pricing formula derived by applying ‘extreme value theory', and then use these measures to investigate the information content of option-implied tail risk on the future returns of the underlying...

We investigate the informational role of trading volume and quote changes in VIX options with regard to future movements in the index, based upon a high-frequency framework. Our results reveal that whilst volume imbalances convey no significant predictive information, quote changes in VIX...

We investigate the relation between trading activity in the VIX derivative markets and changes in the VIX index under a high-frequency framework. We find a significant relation between the signed trading variables of VIX futures and the contemporaneous changes in the VIX index. In addition, the...

This paper uses a copula model to investigate the degree and determinants of European market dependence across 10 industries in 12 Euro zone and 8 non-Euro zone stock markets during the period 1992–2011. Most of the industries in Euro countries show a dependence increase with the Euro-area...

This article illustrates the impact of both spot and option liquidity levels on option prices. Using implied volatility to measure the option price structure, our empirical results reveal that even after controlling for the systematic risk of Duan and Wei (2009), a clear link remains between...

This paper uses a copula model to investigate the degree and determinants of European market dependence across 10 industries in 12 Euro zone and 8 non-Euro zone stock markets during the period 1992–2011. Most of the industries in Euro countries show a dependence increase with the Euro-area...

This paper derives a simple square root option pricing model (SSROPM) using a general equilibrium approach in an economy where the representative agent has a generalized logarithmic utility function. Our option pricing formulae, like the Black-Scholes model, do not depend on the preference...

We derive the theoretical relation between the term structure of implied variance and the expected excess returns of the underlying asset. Adopting three alternative approaches to compile the variables representing the information on the implied volatility index level and term structure, we show...

While numerous prior studies report that call–put implied volatility spreads positively predict future stock returns, recent literature shows that the predictive relation is negative for future call option returns. We investigate whether and, if so, how the predictive relation for options...

This study compares the volatility and density prediction performance of alternative GARCH models with different conditional distribution specifications. The conditional residuals are specified as normal, skewed-t or compound Poisson (jump) distribution based upon a non-linear and asymmetric...