We revisit the forward premium puzzle in the interwar period and find that, as the deviation from covered interest rate parity increases, the coefficient on the forward premium in the standard Fama regression tends towards zero.

This paper adopts a nonlinear framework to model the deviations of the real exchange rate from its fundamental value implied by International Real Business Cycle models with complete asset markets. By focusing on the post Bretton Woods era, we find that in several cases there is a long run...

We derive the conditions for the optimal portfolio choice within a constant relative risk aversion type of utility function considering alternative probability distributions that are able to capture the asymmetric and leptokurtic features of asset returns. We illustrate the role — beyond risk...

The detection of explosive behavior in house prices and the implementation of early warning diagnosis tests are of great importance for policy-making. This paper applies the GSADF test developed by Phillips et al. (2012) and Phillips et al. (2013), a novel procedure for testing, detection and...

This paper examines the higher order risk preferences of prudence and temperance for the Koszegi-Rabin (KR) expectations-based reference dependent model. Our analyses reveal that higher order risk attitudes exhibited by a KR decision maker in experimental research depend on whether risks are...