This paper proposes an infinite hidden Markov model (iHMM) to detect, date stamp,and estimate speculative bubbles. Three features make this new approach attractive to practitioners. First, the iHMM is capable of capturing the nonlinear dynamics of different types of bubble behaviors as it allows...

This paper proposes an infinite hidden Markov model (iHMM) to detect, date stamp, and estimate speculative bubbles. Three features make this new approach attractive to practitioners. first, the iHMM is capable of capturing the nonlinear dynamics of different types of bubble behaviors as it...

This paper proposes an infinite hidden Markov model to integrate the regime switching and the structural break dynamics in a single, coherent Bayesian framework. Two parallel hierarchical structures, one governing the transition probabilities and another governing the parameters of the...

In this article, we propose a novel Bayesian nonparametric clustering algorithm based on a Dirichlet process mixture of Dirichlet distributions which have been shown to be very flexible for modeling proportional data. The idea is to let the number of mixture components increases as new data to...

We propose an estimation method that circumvents the path dependence problem existing in Change-Point (CP) and Markov Switching (MS) ARMA models. Our model embeds a sticky infinite hidden Markov-switching structure (sticky IHMM), which makes possible a self-determination of the number of regimes...

In analyzing correlated data or clustered data with linear or logistic mixed effects model, one commonly assumes that the random effects follow a normal distribution with mean zero. However, this assumption might not be appropriate in many cases. In particular, substantial violation of normality...

In a sample of mRNA species counts, sequences without duplicates or with small numbers of copies are likely to carry information related to mutations or diseases and can be of great interest. However, in some situations, sequence abundance is unknown and sequencing the whole sample to find the...

A heterogeneous thresholds probit for ordered ratings is developed to remove conditional independence among responses and incorporate respondent traits. We propose a semiparametric approach to relaxing normality of random-effects in the probit model that account for differences in response...

Most of the Bayesian nonparametric models for non–exchangeable data that are used in applications are based on some extension to the multivariate setting of the Dirichlet process, the best known being MacEachern’s dependent Dirichlet process. A comparison of two recently introduced classes...