In this paper, we investigate the relationship between stock returns and short-term interest rates. Identification of the stock return-interest rate relation is solved by using a newtechnique that relies on the heteroskedasticity of shocks to stock market returns. We suggest some improvements to...

This paper examines the role of the ECB communication activities on daily Eurodollar exchange rate and interest rates. We estimate the relationship between monetary policy and the exchange rate using a technique that explicitly recognizes the joint determination of both the levels and...

In this paper we analyse the influence of the Bundesbank's inflation targeting policy on the behavior of the spread between long-term and short-term German interest rates. The term spread is considered to be a key indicator of future inflation and economic activity. The application of a momentum...

Relying on a present value model with time-varying expected returns, and incorporating a quite general class of processes to model bubble like stock price deviations from the long-run equilibrium, we provide empirical evidence on the US log dividend-price ratio over the 1871:1 - 2001:9 period,...

This paper contributes to the literature measuring the response of stock markets to monetary policy actions. We analyze the reaction of European stock market returns to unexpected interest rate decisions by the ECB. Endogeneity between interest rate changes and stock returns is taken into...

Previous literature on price discovery in commodity markets is mainly focused on the question of whether the spot or the futures market dominates the price discovery process. Little attention, however, has been paid to the question of how the price discovery process is affected by futures...

Our study investigates the role of the exchange rate regime to explain the empirical link between financial crises and economic activity. We examine the relationship between real per capita GDP growth, exchange rate regimes and the incidence of crises. Asymmetries are also explored. While...

In an important sense the present survey reaches a conclusion similar to the one highlighted by Laidler and Parkin (1975) over forty years ago. Inflation, if fully anticipated, produces modest social costs. We are no closer to knowing what is ‘optimal' inflation except that low and stable...