Because options on 10-year Japanese government bonds (JGB) futures are relatively new in the market, their implied volatility, JGB-VIX, is not available before 2007. For the period when JGB-VIX is available, we conduct supervised learning by using the daily newspaper articles as input and...

The search for new ideas by profit-seeking firms and knowledge spillovers are well-known and fundamental sources of modern economic growth. This paper examines the implications of idea production and knowledge capital for monetary business cycles. We construct a sticky-wage model where workers...

This paper investigates the finite sample properties of the two-step estimators of dynamic factor models when unobservable common factors are estimated by the principal components methods in the first step. Effects of the number of individual series on the estimation of an auto-regressive model...