In this paper, we illustrate the application of Bayesian time series models to obtain future population estimates with uncertainty. The focus is on a simple projection model with the historical data representing population change in England and Wales from 1841 to 2007. The Bayesian forecasts to...

Recent studies indicate that the traditional rural-urban dichotomy that points to cities as places of better health in the developing worldcan be complicated by poverty differentials; many poor urban women experiencechild mortality burdens as high as their rural counterparts. However, little is...