This paper considers the measurement of the equity risk premium in financial markets from a new perspective that picks up on a suggestion from Merton (1980) to use implied volatility of options on a market portfolio as a direct 'ex-ante' estimate for market variance, and hence the risk premium....

In this paper we propose and test several hypotheses concerning time series properties of trading volume, price, short and long-term relationships between price and volume and the determinants of trading volume in foreign currency futures. The nearby contracts for British Pound, Canadian Dollar,...

This study focuses on the information spillover between the credit protection returns and equity returns for 252 United States firms between 2004 and 2010. There is significant information flow from the equity market to the credit default swap (CDS) market under turmoil conditions for...

This article examines the pattern of information flow between the percentage price change and the trading volume in gold futures contracts using daily data over a ten-year period. We employ the robust two-step procedure proposed by Cheung and Ng (1996) to detect the causality in variance. We...

Oil prices increased dramatically during 2004–2006. Industry experts initially attributed these price increases to fundamental factors such as the rise in global demand, but also because of disruptions in the supply of oil. The price increases however were so substantial that additional...

This paper examines the dynamic interrelationships among four highly internationally traded commodities, oil, copper, gold and silver and three commodity-relevant financial variables including short-run interest rate, exchange rate and the world equity index. We explore these interrelationships...

This book provides a comprehensive account of stochastic filtering as a modeling tool in finance and economics. It aims to present this very important tool with a view to making it more popular among researchers in the disciplines of finance and economics. It is not intended to give a complete...

We investigate the cyclical component dynamics of US macroeconomic variables and oil benchmark prices in a regime-switching environment. We compare two different oil benchmark cycles, and the results indicate that WTI and Brent are not perfect substitutes in the US economy when it comes to...

The oil market is characterized by several hundreds of different grades of crude extracted from various locations on the planet, but prices of those grades are structured with reference to only a handful of benchmark varieties. In this context, the ability to predict near term benchmark oil...