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This paper extends recent findings of Lieberman and Phillips (2014) on stochastic unit root (SUR) models to a multivariate case including a comprehensive asymptotic theory for estimation of the model's parameters. The extensions are useful because they lead to a generalization of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011096425
The main contribution of this paper is a proof of the asymptotic validity of the application of the bootstrap to AR(∞) processes with unmodelled conditional heteroskedasticity. We first derive the asymptotic properties of the least-squares estimator of the autoregressive sieve parameters when...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005511987
In this paper we provide a comprehensive Bayesian posterior analysis of trend determination in general autoregressive models. Multiple lag autoregressive models with fitted drifts and time trends as well as models that allow for certain types of structural change in the deterministic components...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005634756
autoregression that may have a heavy tailed heteroscedastic error. The estimator exploits two transformations for heavy tail …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011189586
standard macroeconomic vector autoregression (VAR) with five financial variables (real stock prices, real house prices, term …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083242
Two types of unit root tests which accommodate a structural level shift at a known point in time are extended to the situation where the break date is unknown. It is shown that for any estimator for the break date the tests have the same asymptotic distribution as the corresponding tests under...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010983565
Motivated by a nonparametric GARCH model we consider nonparametric additive regression and autoregression models in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010983568
Unit root tests are considered for time series with innovational outliers. The function representing the outliers can have a very general nonlinear form and additional deterministic mean and trend terms are allowed for. Prior to the tests the deterministic parts and other nuisance parameters of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010983569
Unit root tests for time series with level shifts are considered. The level shift is assumed to occur at a known time point. In contrast to some other proposals the level shift is modeled as part of the intercept term of the stationary component of the data generation process which is separated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010983628