This paper develops and tests a heterogeneous agents model for the option market. Our agents have different beliefs about the future level of volatility of the underlying stock index and trade accordingly. We consider two types of agents: fundamentalists and chartists, who are able to switch...

This paper examines whether trading based on market sentiment can explain mispricing in S&P 500 options. We test the heterogeneous agent s option pricing model developed in Frijns et al. (2010), where our agents have different beliefs about the future level of market volatility and trade...

GARCH-type models have been very successful in describing the volatility dynamics of financial return series for short periods of time. However, for example macroeconomic events may cause the structure of volatility to change and the assumption of stationarity is no longer plausible. In order to...

This paper examines whether trading based on market sentiment can explain mispricing in S&P 500 options. We test the heterogeneous agent s option pricing model developed in Frijns et al. (2010), where our agents have different beliefs about the future level of market volatility and trade...

The objective of this paper is to evaluate option pricing performance on the cross sectional level. For this purpose, we propose a statistical framework, in which we in particular account for the uncertainty associated with the reported pricing performance. Instead of a single figure, we...

In this paper, we conduct skewness term structure tests to check whether the temporal structure of risk-neutral skewness is consistent with rational expectations. Because risk-neutral skewness is substantially mean reverting, skewness shocks should decay quickly and risk-neutral skewness of more...

Using an equilibrium asset and option pricing model in a production economy under jump diffusion, we derive an analytical link between the equity premium, risk aversion and the systematic variance and skewness risk premium. In an empirical application of the model using more than 20 years of...

Previous research indicates that the US market for inflation-linked bonds is not efficient and that market inefficiencies can be exploited by informed traders who include survey estimations or inflation model forecasts in trades on break-even inflation. Results from this extended research over a...