of the impact of conflict point to negative gross domestic product (GDP) growth of -12 percent on average over 2011 …-18, resulting in a GDP contraction to about one-third of the 2010 level. In post-conflict simulation scenarios, the growth drivers …This paper addresses three questions: 1) what would have been the growth and income trajectory of Syria in the absence …

show that the two measures behave differently in standard growth regressions and argue that this is because the standard … model is a mis-specification in this context. Casualties appear to affect growth more in smaller populations. We argue that … a debate on the right model can help distinguish between competing theories in the conflict literature. This is …

Sub-Saharan Africa's dismal development outcomes-growth collapse and declining real income-are often used to highlight … paper shows that Africa’s underlying dismal growth performance can be largely accounted for by high political risk and … uncertainty which undermined investments and growth prospects in the region over most of the post-independence era. This …

A fundamental issue for economists is what determines civil conflict. One unsettled question is the relative importance … personal characteristics, country and year fixed effects, more freedom and economic growth both reduce revolutionary support …. To reduce support by the same amount requires adding 14 percentage points on to the GDP growth rate. Being Muslim in a …

A fundamental issue for economists is what determines civil conflict. One unsettled question is the relative importance … personal characteristics, country and year fixed effects, more freedom and economic growth both reduce revolutionary support …. To reduce support by the same amount requires adding 14 percentage points on to the GDP growth rate. Being Muslim in a …

Growth rates of per capita GDP are depressed by civil conflict to a degree that reflects its severity. Only the more … least one year – have a significant negative growth effect. Post-conflict recovery of output is enhanced by aid flows but …

. Good governance and high and shared growth often top the list of conditions necessary to achieve ethnic peace. How to get … condition to achieve good governance and high growth. Openness acts as a disciplining force on government regardless of whether …

This paper defines the global economic costs of conflict and suggests two key criteria, namely comprehensiveness and … studies focus on national income losses, using counterfactual regression models, finding a negative impact on growth both for … conflict countries themselves and for their neighbors. However, the debate is quite fragmented and the literature fails to …