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We estimate dynamic conditional correlations between 10 commodities futures returns in energy, metals and agriculture markets over the period 1998-2014 with a DCC-GARCH model. We look at the factors influencing those correlations, adopting a pooled mean group (PMG) estimator. Macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011451631
Maize is a major staple food in Sub-Saharan Africa. Monthly maize prices in Tanzania are analyzed since the country is an important maize producer and exporter in East Africa. We analyze price transmission between the five most important urban regions of Tanzania between 2000 and 2008 which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010342910
We assess market integration and price transmission of perishable agricultural produce in Sub-Saharan Africa by studying Ghanaian tomato markets which are characterized by pronounced seasonality in production and trade flows. We analyse the tomato markets of Ghana by simultaneously regarding its...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010342911
This paper analyses futures prices for four energy commodities (light sweet crude oil, heating oil, gasoline and natural gas) and five agricultural commodities (corn, oats, soybean oil, soybeans and wheat), over the period 1986-2010. Using CCC and DCC multivariate GARCH models, we find that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010343837
This paper analyses futures prices for four energy commodities (light sweet crude oil, heating oil, gasoline and natural gas) and five agricultural commodities (corn, oats, soybean oil, soybeans and wheat), over the period 1986-2010. Using CCC and DCC multivariate GARCH models, we find that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009535531
There is no consensus on what defines a reference for the world rice price. A review on rice as a differentiated commodity shed two important insights. First, it confirms that few studies have considered segmentation of rice in their price analysis. Second, Thai 5% brokens has often been...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010235140
This study aims to improve our understanding of the extent and speed of the transmission of international cereal prices to local markets in developing countries. We analyse two samples of price transmission (PT) estimates, one extracted from a comprehensive literature sample of 31 published...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010235142
The commodity prices have boosted in the last years and many possible causes have been mentioned (dollar weakness, China's economic growth, oil prices, speculative bubble, agriculture productivity declining). Despite the recent crisis, some developing countries have presented a good performance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013131912
agricultural export subsidy war between the EU and the US in the mid 1980s while the third one occurred at the beginning of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013117716
Despite an extensive literature on contributing factors to the high commodity prices and volatility in the recent years, few have examined these causal factors together in one analysis. We quantify empirically the relative importance of three factors -global demand, speculation, and energy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013108661