Showing 1 - 10 of 38,152
We introduce a statistical test for comparing the predictive accuracy of competing copula specifications in multivariate density forecasts, based on the Kullback-Leibler Information Criterion (KLIC). The test is valid under general conditions: in particular it allows for parameter estimation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325942
This paper develops a testing framework for comparing the predictive accuracy of copula-based multivariate density forecasts, focusing on a specific part of the joint distribution. The test is framed in the context of the Kullback-Leibler Information Criterion, but using (out-of-sample)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326216
The globalisation on financial markets and the development of financial derivatives has increased not only chances but also potential risk within the banking industry. Especially market risk has gained major significance since market price variation of interest rates, stocks or exchange rates...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010331352
We introduce a statistical test for comparing the predictive accuracy of competing copula specifications in multivariate density forecasts, based on the Kullback-Leibler Information Criterion (KLIC). The test is valid under general conditions: in particular it allows for parameter estimation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011377261
The globalisation on financial markets and the development of financial derivatives has increased not only chances but also potential risk within the banking industry. Especially market risk has gained major significance since market price variation of interest rates, stocks or exchange rates...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010237661
This paper develops a testing framework for comparing the predictive accuracy of copula-based multivariate density forecasts, focusing on a specific part of the joint distribution. The test is framed in the context of the Kullback-Leibler Information Criterion, but using (out-of-sample)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013082931
We develop a portfolio risk model that uses high-frequency data to forecast the loss surface, which is the set of loss distributions at future time horizons. Our model uses a fully automated, semi-parametric fitting procedure that has its basis in extreme value statistics. We take account of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012726181
Accounting fraud is a global concern representing a significant threat to the financial system stability due to the resulting diminishing of the market confidence and trust of regulatory authorities. Several tricks can be used to commit accounting fraud, hence the need for non-static regulatory...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012919651
This discussion paper resulted in a publication in the <I>Journal of Economic Dynamics & Control</I>, 34(9), 1596-1609.<P> We introduce a statistical test for comparing the predictive accuracy of competing copula specifications in multivariate density forecasts, based on the Kullback-Leibler Information...</p></i>
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256012
We introduce a statistical test for comparing the predictive accuracy of competing copula specifications in multivariate density forecasts, based on the Kullback-Leibler Information Criterion (KLIC). The test is valid under general conditions: in particular it allows for parameter estimation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005144392