Overconfidence in one's relative performance within a group is a wide-spread phenomenon. Similar to individual (or … within-group) overconfidence, it was also shown that individuals are, on average, overconfident about the performance of … their group relative to other groups. We hypothesize that this between-group overconfidence should mitigate within …

’, estimating that it under-represents their score by 13%. However, they exhibit no such overconfidence in non-ego-relevant beliefs … ‘unlucky feeling’ is largely due to overconfident priors, with biased updating driving overconfidence only among the … than beliefs about a particular performance, contributing to the persistence of overconfidence. …

the relative standing of their group among other groups. On average, individuals exhibit overconfidence bias in both types …, the salience of between-group judgments should mitigate within-group overconfidence. Our second hypothesis is that within …-group overconfidence is reduced in the presence of group identity. Using a 2×2 between-subject design, we test, and find strong support for …

We investigate the influence of overconfidence and risk aversion on individual financial decision making in the … their pre-experimental overconfidence scores, were assigned to the two types of markets: least overconfident subjects formed … trading activity were overconfidence dependent only for female participants. Mistakes in price forecasting, that are …

Miscalibration can be defined as the fact that people think that their knowledge is more precise than it actually is …. In a typical miscalibration experiment, subjects are asked to provide subjective confidence intervals. A very robust … fall inside the 90% intervals provided. As miscalibration is linked with bad results on a experimental financial market …

We examine factors that may contribute to 'overconfidence' in relative ability on an intelligence test. We test … an equilibrium strategy, providing a rationale for strategic overconfidence. …

salient perturbations, we propose a strategic foundation of overconfidence. Since overconfident statements are used in …