We investigate whether overconfidence is affected by superstitious beliefs and whether the effect is heterogeneous … overconfidence is positively affected by being assigned to a lucky number. Interestingly, males and females react differently …: females’ overconfidence tends to be negatively affected when assigned to unlucky numbers, while they are not affected by being …

We examine consumer certainty of future preferences and overconfidence in predicting future preferences. We explore how … preference certainty and overconfidence impact the option value to revise today’s decisions in the future. We design a laboratory … overconfidence in predicting future preferences as: the difference between actual accuracy at predicting future choices and stated …

models of social learning to investigate the micro-level mechanisms. We find that overconfidence and conservatism contribute …

I investigate whether two mechanisms leading to biased beliefs about success, overconfidence and competition neglect … distributions related to absolute as well as relative overconfidence to study it comprehensively and introduce two treatment … variations: First, some participants receive detailed performance feedback addressing absolute and relative overconfidence before …

Overconfidence is one of the most ubiquitous cognitive bias. There is copious evidence of overconfidence being relevant … overconfidence. Cognitive uncertainty represents a decision maker's uncertainty about her action optimality. We present a simple … model of overconfidence based on the concept of cognitive uncertainty. The model relates the concepts theoretically and …

holding positive beliefs. This finding provides a behavioral explanation why and how overconfidence can evolve in the presence …

overconfidence and overentry into competition. In a broader context, the results provide an explanation for the overconfidence of …