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Using linearity tests proposed by Choi and Saikkonen (2004), this paper finds evidence of a non-linear cointegrating money demand relationship in China during the 1987-2008 period and identifies potential explanations for this non-linearity.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008543356
Our strategy for automatic selection in potentially non-linear processes is: test for non-linearity in the unrestricted linear formulation; if that test rejects, specify a general model using polynomials, to be simplified to a minimal congruent representation; finally select by encompassing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008497743
The unemployment rate in Australia is modelled as an assymmetric and non-linear function of aggregate demand, productivity, real wages and unemployment benefits. Negative changes in aggregate demand cause the unemployment rate to rise rapidly, while real wage rigidity contributes its to slow...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008476281
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008526581
After the creation of the European Monetary Union (EMU), both the European Commission (EC) and the European Central Bank (ECB) are focusing more and more on the evolution of the EMU as a whole, rather than on single member countries. A particularly relevant issue from a policy point of view is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124368
The non-linearity of macroeconomic processes is becoming an increasingly important issue both at theoretical and empirical level. This trend holds for labour market variables as well. Reallocation theory of unemployment relies on non-linearities. At the same time there is mounting empirical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005125105
Macroeconomic time series are often obtained as an aggregate across regions or economic sectors. Even when the ultimate goal is to forecast the aggregate series it may be beneficial to consider the underlying disaggregate series. This especially holds when the disaggregate series are generated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005130166
The hysteresis terminology has mainly been used in two fields of economics, unemplyment and international trade, with a different meaning however, involving either linear autoregressive macro behaviour or non- linear heterogenous mico behaviour. There may nonetheless be observational equivalence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005134578
This study employed the Hinich portmanteau bicorrelation test (Hinich and Patterson, 1995; Hinich, 1996) as a diagnostic tool to determine the adequacy of the GARCH model in describing the returns generating process of Malaysia’s stock market, specifically the Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange Composite...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005134637
With abounding evidence of non-linearity in stock markets of developed markets, this study attempts to narrow the gap in the literature of Asian countries by providing further empirical evidence to the issue “are non-linear dynamics a universal occurrence?”. The results from the Hinich...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005134690