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A Markov Chain Monte Carlo method is proposed for the pointwise evaluation of a density whose normalizing constant is not known. This method was introduced in the physics literature by Assaraf et al (2007). Conditions for unbiasedness of the estimator are derived. A central limit theorem is also...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008868144
This paper has two major objectives. First, we develop and implement a Bayesian generalized factor model that allows for non-orthogonality of the idiosyncratic factors and the flexibility of cross-sectional and time series dimensions. Second, we evaluate the significance of the orthogonality...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008694916
Within our research group Bayesian Risk Solutions we have coined the idea of a Bayesian Risk Management (BRM). It claims (1) a more transparent and diligent data analysis as well as (2)an open-minded incorporation of human expertise in risk management. In this dissertation we formulize a...
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Latent class analysis can be viewed as a special case of model–based clustering for multivariate discrete data. It is assumed that each observation comes from one of a number of classes, groups or subpopulations, with its own probability distribution. The overall population thus follows a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011151404
This paper focuses on analyzing data collected in situations where investigators use multiple discrete indicators as surrogates, for example, a set of questionnaires. A very flexible latent class model is used for analysis. We propose a Bayesian framework to perform the joint estimation of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011151906
A practical model and an associated method are developed for providing consistent, deterministically correct responses to ad-hoc queries to a database containing a field of binary confidential data. COUNT queries, i.e., the number of selected subjects whose confidential datum is positive, are to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009218134