Showing 81 - 90 of 253
Weather derivatives provide a tool for weather risk management, and the markets for these exotic financial products are gradually emerging in size and importance. This unique monograph presents a unified approach to the modeling and analysis of such weather derivatives, including financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011156372
In this paper we develop a model for electricity spot price dynamics. The spot price is assumed to follow an exponential Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process with an added compound Poisson process. In this way, the model allows for mean-reversion and possible jumps. All parameters are modulated by a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008863704
In this paper we study the approximation of a sum of assets having marginal log-returns being multivariate normal inverse Gaussian distributed. We analyse the choice of a univariate exponential NIG distribution, where the approximation is based on matching of moments. Probability densities and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009002324
We propose a non-symmetric copula to model the evolution of electricity and gas prices by a bivariate non-Gaussian autoregressive process. We identify the marginal dynamics as driven by normal inverse Gaussian processes, estimating them from a series of observed UK electricity and gas spot data....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009215076
In this paper we propose an ARMA time-series model for the wind speed at a single spatial location, and estimate it on in-sample data recorded in three different wind farm regions in New York state. The data have a three-hour granularity, but based on applications to financial wind derivatives...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008674946
The main objective of this work is to construct optimal temperature futures from available market-traded contracts to hedge spatial risk. Temperature dynamics are modelled by a stochastic differential equation with spatial dependence. Optimal positions in market-traded futures minimizing the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009279048
In electricity markets, it is sensible to use a two-factor model with mean reversion for spot prices. One of the factors is an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process driven by a Brownian motion and accounts for the small variations. The other factor is an OU process driven by a pure jump L\'evy process...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010686042
We study the forward price dynamics in commodity markets realized as a process with values in a Hilbert space of absolutely continuous functions defined by Filipovi\'c. The forward dynamics are defined as the mild solution of a certain stochastic partial differential equation driven by an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010752310
For a commodity spot price dynamics given by an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process with Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard stochastic volatility, we price forwards using a class of pricing measures that simultaneously allow for change of level and speed in the mean reversion of both the price and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010752641
We extend the concept of half life of an Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process to Lévy-driven continuous-time autoregressive moving average processes with stochastic volatility. The half life becomes state dependent, and we analyze its properties in terms of the characteristics of the process. An...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010718760