Showing 91 - 100 of 82,100
This paper proposes a sequential Monte Carlo method for estimating GARCH models subject to an unknown number of structural breaks. We use particle filtering techniques that allow for fast and efficient updates of posterior quantities and forecasts in real-time. The method conveniently deals with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005827237
A behavioral algorithm for optimization - Repetitive Stochastic Guesstimation (RSG) - is adapted, with complete proofs for its global convergence, for estimating parameters in a GARCH(1,1) model, based on a very small number of observations. Estimators delivered by this algorithm for the example...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008492967
, based on realized volatility (Andersen and Bollerslev 1998, and others), to estimate the conditional quantiles of daily … volatility in samples of equity index and foreign exchange data. These techniques in principle allow us to characterize the … entire conditional distribution of volatility, conditioning on past realized volatility and past squared returns. We take …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005100530
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014378893
other characteristics of transaction prices process such as volatility requires a careful choice of the appropriate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011544938
Financial integration has strong implications for financial stability. On the one hand, financial integration among economies helps improve their capacity to absorb shocks and foster development. On the other hand, intensified financial linkages in a world of increasing capital mobility may also...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005736323
This paper analyzes volatility spillovers in multivariate GARCH-type models. We show that the cross-effects between the … conditional variances determine the persistence of the transmitted volatility innovations. In particular, the effect of a foreign … volatility innovation on a conditional variance is even more persistent than the effect of an own innovation unless it is offset …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009771200
This paper employs weighted least squares to examine the risk-return relation by applying high-frequency data from four major stock indexes in the US market and finds some evidence in favor of a positive relation between the mean of the excess returns and expected risk. However, by using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011555867
We explore optimal hedge ratios and hedging effectiveness for the German electricity market. Given the increasing attention that wavelets received in the financial market, we concentrate on the investigation of the relationship, covariance/coherence evolution and hedge ratio analysis, on a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011555959
In this paper, we investigate the dynamic response of stock market volatility to changes in monetary policy. Using a … vector autoregressive model, our findings reveal a significant and asymmetric response of stock returns and volatility to … monetary policy shocks. Although the increase in the volatility risk premium, futures-trading volume, and leverage appear to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010395968