Private consumption demand falls in response to increased unemployment risk during a recession, as households increase … unemployment risk is more important than realized unemployment shocks in accounting for durable expenditure dynamics during … recessions, while the opposite is true for nondurables. The importance of anticipation of future unemployment risk also means …

The natural rate hypothesis states that there exists an unemployment rate at which inflation is stable, and that this … unemployment rate is independent of aggregate demand shocks. The hysteresis hypothesis, in contrast, states that the long run … unemployment rate can be affected by aggregate demand shocks. While policy makers have warned of the risk of hysteresis since the …

the financial market, we address two prominent mechanism through which firms' financial constraints amplify unemployment … substantial decline in both unemployment and wages. Financial constraints therefore weaken the direct link between wage rigidity … and unemployment volatility. …

-employment to analyze the implications of introducing universal unemployment protection for informal workers through transfers …, which are conditional on participation in training programs. We study how changes in unemployment benefits (UB) for … increasing training UB reduces unprotected unemployment and improves labor market outcomes through higher formal salaried …