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This paper examines the impact of sectorial reforms on current account imbalances, with a special focus on the People’s Republic of China (PRC). In particular, we investigate to what extent reforms pertaining to the financial sector, social protection, and healthcare may contribute to a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010840246
This paper investigates the development of external imbalances from an international perspective by estimating a Global VAR model for the period 1981Q1-2009Q4 with a setup close to that of an international real business cycle model. The model considers 28 countries of which 10 are aggregated as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010859417
The global crisis has revived the growth-rebalancing debate, backing the position of those advocating a fast reduction of the imbalances between the US and China. By means of a two-country two-stage growth model reproducing the main qualitative features of the Sino-American co-dependency, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010786772
There is a widespread consensus that China’s growth paradigm needs a rebalancing away from investment and external demand and towards consumption and domestic demand. This rebalancing process is supposed to be accompanied by the transition towards Renminbi’s full convertibility. In contrast,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011258946
Global imbalances pose a serious question for academia and policy makers related to its formation, sustainability and correction. In this paper we analyze the required adjustments of exchange rates for rebalancing in current accounts. We set up a two-country two-sector model for the US-China...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011264216
Does macroeconomic volatility/uncertainty affect accumulation of net foreign assets? In OECD economies over the period 1970-2012, changes in country specific aggregate volatility are, after controlling for a wide array of factors, significantly positively associated with net foreign asset...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011277951
This paper is inspired by the contributions made by Geoff Harcourt concerning the macroeconomics of open economies, international capital movements and speculation (e.g. Harcourt 1994, Dalziel/Harcourt 1997). This conceptual frame- work is developed in a simple model, useful for validating some...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011133360
We assess the global macroeconomic implications of different strategies of official reserve management by developing a large scale new-Keynesian dynamic general equilibrium model of the world economy, calibrated on the euro area, the United States, China, Japan and the rest of the world. An...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011098938
The reduction of global imbalances observed during the climax of crisis is incomplete. In this context, currencies realignments are still proposed to ensure global macroeconomic stability. These realignments are based on equilibrium rates derived from equilibrium exchange rate models. Among...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011112161
In the recent decade, capital outflows from emerging economies, in the form of a demand for liquid assets, have played a key role in the context of global imbalances. In this paper, we model the demand for liquid assets by firms in a dynamic open-economy macroeconomic model. We find that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084493