The aim of this article is to estimate a Bayesian factorial dynamic model for the analysis and forecasting of the Brazilian tax burden (BTB) using monthly data from 1996 to 2007. Twenty taxes are responsible for about 80% of the BTB, each of which with a distinct seasonal pattern The factorial...

This article presents new monthly estimates of the gross fixed capital formation of the Brazilian general government for the 2002-2010 years. A significant research effort was made to carry out the estimations. First, the many differences between the concepts of "public investment" (as used in...

This paper aims to shed light on the dynamics of Brazilian services inflation in the 1999-2014 years. In order to do that, it first identifies all disaggregated components of the Brazilian consumer price index (IPCA) that can be characterized as services. These components are then translated...

Household consumption is the most important component of gross domestic product (GDP) and its dynamics is crucial to understanding the changes in the dynamics of the economy in boom periods and crises. This paper analyzes the structure of household consumption in Brazil between the years 2000...