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We argue that when fiscal policy is endogenously determined, the incentives of redistributive politics associated with its formulation can endogenously add to the uncertainty and volatility that an economy faces. In particular, small shocks may get translated into large fluctuations. Our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013022383
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010465054
We examine the roles and values of honesty and advocacy in communication by studying two closely-related variants of the standard cheap-talk game. In the honesty model, the sender is behavioral and honestly reveals the state with a positive probability. In the advocacy model, the sender is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011261605
We study and compare the behavioral consequences of honesty and white lie in communication. An honest agent always recommends the ex post optimal policy to the principal, while a white liar may manipulate information but only for the sake of the principal. We identify the effects of honesty and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014212784
We study the problem of efficient auction design in environments with interdependent values, under arbitrary common knowledge assumptions. We propose a simple mechanism and show that, under a rather mild condition, it "robustly" achieves efficiency. Our mechanism consists in a standard Vickrey...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010540956
This paper shows how changes in the volatility of the real interest rate at which small open emerging economies borrow have a quantitatively important effect on real variables like output, consumption, investment, and hours worked. To motivate our investigation, we document the strong evidence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004970850
In finite samples, the use of a slightly endogenous but highly relevant instrument can reduce mean-squared error (MSE). Building on this observation, I propose a moment selection criterion for GMM in which moment conditions are chosen based on the MSE of their associated estimators rather than...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011096593
This paper studies infinite-horizon stochastic games in which players observe noisy public information about a hidden state each period. We find that if the game is connected, the limit feasible payoff set exists and is invariant to the initial prior about the state. Building on this invariance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011165806
We develop a microeconomic model of endogenous growth where clean and dirty technologies complete in production and innovation - in the sense that research can be directed to either clean or dirty technologies. If dirty technologies are more advanced to start with, the potential transition to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011095231
This paper studies the problem of incentivizing an agent in an innovation project when the progress of innovation is known only to the agent. I assume the success of innovation requires an intermediate breakthrough and a final breakthrough, with only the latter being observed by the principal....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011115654