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We propose two fast, stable and consistent methods to estimate time series models expressed in their equivalent state-space form. They are useful both, to obtain adequate initial conditions for a maximum-likelihood iteration, or to provide final estimates when maximum-likelihood is considered...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008520482
Computing the gaussian likelihood for a nonstationary state-space model is a difficult problem which has been tackled by the literature using two main strategies: data transformation and diffuse likelihood. The data transformation approach is cumbersome, as it requires nonstandard filtering. On...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010778697
We propose a new procedure to detect unit roots based on subspace methods. It has three main original features. First, the same method can be applied to single or multiple time series. Second, it employs a flexible family of information criteria, which loss functions can be adapted to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008520475
This paper shows that price level trends in many of the EMU countries evolve with different patterns and that these patterns will not converge in the long-run. We propose that the hypothesis of price convergence should be evaluated and tested employing the relative prices. To this aim, we: (i)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011276132
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This paper discusses how to specify the order of a state-space model. To do so, we start by revising existing approaches and find in them two basic shortcomings: (i) some of them have a poor performance in short samples and (ii) most of them are not robust, meaning that their performance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010998528
This paper discusses how to specify an observable high-frequency model for a vector of time series sampled at high and low frequencies. To this end we first study how aggregation over time affects both the dynamic components of a time series and their observability, in a multivariate linear...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004994197
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