Este trabajo propone una metodología denominada “algoritmo de menú” para la generación automática de modelos de pronóstico de decisiones en política pública. A partir del algoritmo de Metrópolis-Hastings y un conjunto de posibles variables explicativas, se construye un modelo que...

En este trabajo se hace una estimación del efecto de la política monetaria sobre la actividad productiva en las regiones y los sectores de la economía de Colombia y se evalúan los canales de transmisión. Para ello se emplea un modelo de rezagos distribuidos en el que se combinan datos de...

This paper studies a principal-agent model where a risk-neutral principal delegates to a risk-neutral agent the decision of whether to pursue a risky project or a safe one. The return from the risky project is unknown and the agent can acquire costly unobservable information about it before...

Watersheds and irrigation systems have the characteristic of connecting people vertically by water flows. The location of users along these systems defines their role in the provision and appropriation of water which adds complexity to the potential for cooperation. Verticality thus imposes a...

Policy makers use several international indices that characterize countries according to the quality of their institutions. However, no effort has been made to study how the honesty of citizens varies across countries. This paper explores the honesty among citizens across sixteen countries with...

Reducir la deforestación del bosque natural implica conservar la biodiversidad y mantener almacenado el carbono reduciendo las emisiones de Gases de Efecto Invernadero. Los pagos por servicios ambientales -PSA- fortalecerían los mecanismos de regulación directa para la conservación ya que:...

We study a particular restitution problem where there is an indivisible good (land or property) over which two agents have rights: the dispossessed agent and the owner. A third party, possibly the government, seeks to resolve the situation by assigning rights to one and compensate the other....

Resumen Este trabajo revisa la literatura que trata del funcionamiento de la competencia en el sector de la salud cuando este está organizado alrededor de una managed care competition. Se abordan en una primera parte los problemas de asimetría de información que caracterizan los mercados de...

Abstract Research from the United States shows that gaps in early cognitive and non-cognitive ability appear early in the life cycle. Little is known about this important question for developing countries. This paper provides new evidence of sharp differences in cognitive development by...

Through a novel randomized control trial this paper estimates the impact of Viva Seguro, a financial education program that covers topics on risks and insurance management, on knowledge, attitudes and actual behavior. The program was broadcasted in two Colombian radio stations that have low and...