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In a sailboat race, the navigator’s attempts to plot the fastest possible course are hindered by shifty winds. We present mathematical models appropriate for this situation, which use statistical analysis of wind fluctuations and are amenable to stochastic optimization methods. We describe the...
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For manifest variables with additive noise and for a given number of latent variables with an assumed distribution, we propose to nonparametrically estimate the association between latent and manifest variables. Our estimation is a two step procedure: First it employs standard factor analysis to...
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Time series of financial asset values exhibit well known statistical features such as heavy tails and volatility clustering. Strongly present in some series, nonstationarity is a feature that has been somewhat overlooked. This may however be a highly relevant feature when estimating extreme...
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