Darné, Olivier - In: Journal of Macroeconomics 31 (2009) 1, pp. 153-166
In this paper, we study the nature of the trend (deterministic or stochastic) for long spans of US GNP data (1869-1993). This distinction is important for macroeconomic theories, because the two models imply very different source of output fluctuations due to (transitory or permanent) shocks. We...