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For estimating a rare event via the multivariate extreme value theory, the so-called tail dependence function has to be investigated (see [L. de Haan, J. de Ronde, Sea and wind: Multivariate extremes at work, Extremes 1 (1998) 7-45]). A simple, but effective estimator for the tail dependence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005221490
For the estimation of the mean of a heavy tailed distribution with tail index -[alpha]<-1, the asymptotic distribution of the sample mean is not normal as [alpha]<2. In this paper we propose an alternative estimator whose limiting distribution, under a second order condition, is normal for any [alpha]>1.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005319449
For samples of random variables with a regularly varying tail estimating the tail index has received much attention recently. For the proof of asymptotic normality of the tail index estimator second-order regular variation is needed. In this paper we first supplement earlier results on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005319453
Asymptotic expansions of densities of the normalized sums of random vectors with at least finite third moment have been studied extensively (Normal Approximation and Asymptotic expansions. Wiley, New York.). In this note, we obtain the asymptotic expansions of densities of the normalized sums of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005319817
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005320056
Illiquid assets are widely spread within the economy but their indices are difficult to measure. This paper proposes a Generalized Method of Moment (GMM) repeat sales regression for estimating illiquid asset price indices. This method has estimators that are arithmetic averages of individual...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005335019
This paper analyzes the implications of cross-sectional heteroskedasticity in the repeat sales regression (RSR). RSR estimators are essentially geometric averages of individual asset returns because of the logarithmic transformation of price relatives. We show that the cross-sectional variance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005335079
This paper argues that econometric analysis of housing price indexes before 2006 generated forecasts of future long-term price growth and low estimated probabilities of extreme price decreases. These forecasts of future increases in home-loan collateral values may have affected both the demand...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005085017
This paper builds a venture capital index from 1987 to 1999 that consists of 12,946 rounds of venture financing with 5,643 venture-backed firms. The paper uses two innovative techniques, a re-weighting procedure and a method of moment repeat sales regression, to mitigates three problems -...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005147051
This paper investigates whether individual investors adjust their stock trading according to their stock selection abilities, which can be inferred from their trading history. Fixed-effect panel regressions provide strong evidence that the ability to forecast future stock returns significantly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005147070