An f-percent filter rule in a foreign exchange market calls for buying a foreign currency when its price has risen by f percent above a trough and holding until its price has fallen f percent from a peak. If the foreign exchange rate following a random walk, this is an unprofitable strategy....

This paper addresses the output-price volatility puzzle by studying the interaction of optimal monetary policy and agents' beliefs. We assume that agents choose their information acquisition rate by minimizing a loss function that depends on expected forecast errors and information costs....

Monetary authorities commonly use interventions in foreign exchange markets to influence exchange rates. This paper uses Taiwan's data to show that how interventions respond to external shocks representing depreciation or appreciation pressures depends on other objectives of the monetary...

An examination of the historical and current behavior of domestic nonfinancial debt, with a discussion of B.M. Friedman's theories and an analysis of the recent unexpected surge in debt and its policy implications.

During late 1998 and much of 1999, the price earnings ratio (P/E) of the S&P 500 index reached unprecedented levels. This was especially evident for the largest 18 technology firms, whose market-weighted P/E exceeded 125 in March of last year. These valuations, which dominated the NASDAQ, proved...

This paper develops an adaptive learning formulation of an extension to the Ball, Mankiw and Reis (2005) sticky information model that incorporates endogenous inattention. We show that, following an exogenous increase in the policymaker's preferences for price vs. output stability, the learning...

This paper addresses the output-price volatility puzzle by studying the interaction of optimal monetary policy and agents' beliefs. We assume that agents choose their information acquisition rate by minimizing a loss function that depends on expected forecast errors and information costs....