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We analyze the role of house and stock prices in the monetary policy transmission mechanism in the U.S. using a structural VAR model. The VAR is identifed using a combination of short-run and long-run (neutrality) restrictions, allowing for contemporaneous interaction between monetary policy and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010564250
Dornbusch’s exchange rate overshooting hypothesis is a central building block in international macroeconomics. Yet, empirical studies of monetary policy have typically found exchange rate effects that are inconsistent with overshooting. This puzzling result has developed into a “styled...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005652251
We examine the effects of extracting monetary policy disturbances with semi-structural and structural VARs, using data generated by a limited participation model under partial accommodative and feedback rules. We find that, in general, misspecification is substantial: short run coefficients...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005666752
autoregressive models. We suggest a likelihood ratio test for over-identification in a sub-system and derive the asymptotics for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005702745
This paper examines whether a monetary policy tightening (i.e., an increase in the domestic interest rate) was successful in defending the exchange rate from speculative pressures during the Asian financial crisis. We estimate a bivariate VECM for four Asian countries, and improve upon existing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005385055
This paper examines whether a monetary policy tightening (i.e., an increase in the domestic interest rate) was successful in defending the exchange rate from speculative pressures during the Asian financial crisis. We estimate a bivariate VECM for four Asian countries, and improve upon existing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005450651
This paper empirically investigates the following three questions: (i) Do stock returns respond to monetary policy shocks? (ii) Do stock returns alter the transmission mechanism of monetary policy? and (iii) Does monetary policy systematically react to stock returns? Existing research based on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008611046
analysis. Identification, estimation and testing procedures are discussed. The paper applies this approach to the well … standard VAR identification schemes. In addition, the paper suggests that the apparent weak contemporaneous cross …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005126128
In 2001, the Fed has lowered interest rates in a series of cuts, starting from 6.5 % at the end of 2000 to 2.0 % by early November. This paper asks, whether the Federal Reserve Bank has been surprising the markets, taking as given the conventional view about the effect of monetary policy shocks....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010956386
We analyze the quantitative importance of bank lending shocks on real activity fluctuations in Norway and the UK, using structural VARs estimated on quarterly data from 1988 to 2010. We find that an adverse bank lending shock causes output to contract, and that such shocks can account for a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011056676