Showing 1 - 10 of 56,937
A number of financial variables have been shown to be effective in explaining the time-series of aggregate returns in both the UK and US equity markets. These include, inter alia, the dividend yield, the spread between the yields on long and on short bonds, and lagged equity returns. Recently,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008852295
trading around quarterly earnings announcements is either directionally motivated and/or volatility motivated. We found … evidence that is consistent with the idea that option investors have private information prior to positive earnings …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012818141
have prices become more informative? Using stock and bond prices to forecast earnings, we find that the information content … of market prices has not increased since 1960. The magnitude of earnings surprises, however, has increased. A baseline … strongly with future earnings. The forecastable component of earnings improves capital allocation and serves as a direct …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010333618
trading around quarterly earnings announcements is either directionally motivated and/or volatility motivated. We found … evidence that is consistent with the idea that option investors have private information prior to positive earnings …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013201357
We find that the firms included in the S&P 500 index are characterized by large increases in earnings, appreciation in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010284231
have prices become more informative? Using stock and bond prices to forecast earnings, we find that the information content … of market prices has not increased since 1960. The magnitude of earnings surprises, however, has increased. A baseline … strongly with future earnings. The forecastable component of earnings improves capital allocation and serves as a direct …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009657611
the aggregate-level findings in US, earnings yield forecasts the time-series of aggregate stock returns in emerging … markets. We consider aggregate earnings not as normalizing variables for stock price but as predictive variables in their own … right. Aggregate earnings themselves covary with the market returns, hence it is not just the mean reversion of stock prices …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013115711
This is the first study to examine the post-earnings-announcement drift anomaly in a Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT …) context. The efficient markets hypothesis suggests that unexpected earnings should be fully incorporated into asset prices … soon after being publicly announced. We hypothesize that publicly announced earnings signals may be more certain for REITs …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013115972
This paper provides an analysis of the predictability of stock returns using market, industry, and firm-level earnings …. Contrary to Lamont (1998), we find that neither dividend payout ratio nor the level of aggregate earnings can forecast the … sample periods. In contrast to the aggregate-level findings, earnings yield has significant explanatory power for the time …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013116939
This study examines the extent to which analyst recommendations were useful in identifying earnings surprises during … subsequent earnings surprises suggests a significant decline in the predictive value of analysts' recommendations after … Regulation FD took effect. Recommendation revisions are roughly 55 percent less useful in predicting earnings surprises in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013124613