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We assess the specific need (or its absence) of a country to implement a fiscal consolidation programme by focusing specifically on their degree of success, notably in terms of fiscal sustainability. The “need” to consolidate is based on having a primary balance above or below the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013296715
An assessment is presented of whether Greece's current plight is a harbinger of similar adverse conditions likely to directly impact the United States in the intermediate- to long-term future.Long-term deficits projected for 2020 and beyond, under the assumption that the economy is in full...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013142255
This paper argues that the usual framing of discussions of money, monetary policy, and fiscal policy plays into the hands of conservatives. That framing is also largely consistent with the conventional view of the economy and of society more generally. To put it the way that economists usually...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010627293
Background An econometric analysis of the twin deficit hypothesis is of special importance for the Republic of North Macedonia in view of its perspective membership in the European Union and from the point of view of its macroeconomic stability in the long run. Objectives The objective of this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012414405
macroeconomic fundamentals using data from Azerbaijan. The empirical analysis applies ARDL Cointegration methodology in conjunction …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010289410
Shocks to monetary and fiscal policy have played a major role in public debt developments in the OECD countries since the mid-1970s. According to the applied VAR approach, these shocks, taken together, explained, on average, about half of the forecast error variation in the debt to GDP ratio,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012148017
The Global Financial Crisis has typically led to a significant widening of fiscal positions (i.e., higher budget deficits and public debt). We address the sustainability of public finances in Portuguese-speaking African countries (PALOP), through adequate econometric testing. Our findings for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012951578
Thanks to various Fourier DF unit root tests, time-varying fiscal reaction functions and threshold regressions, this study examines the stationarity and the sustainability of public finance for six industrial countries over the period spanning from 1870 to 2017. Longer-run debt sustainability is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013292090
In this paper, we analyse the relationship between public primary deficit and debt for Italian sustainability over the 1862–2013 years. Our empirical strategy uses the wavelet analysis. The empirical evidence suggests the presence of a substantial fiscal sustainability in the long run for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012033890
macroeconomic fundamentals using data from Azerbaijan. The empirical analysis applies ARDL Cointegration methodology in conjunction …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009292066