Benhabib and Farmer [3] showed that a single sector growth model in the presence of increasing returns-to-scale may display an indeterminate equilibrium if the demand and supply curves cross with the "wrong slopes". We generalize their result to a model with preferences that are non-separable in...

This paper discusses some of the issues related to the determination of the future behavior of euro exchange rates. It considers the impact of European-wide productivity and velocity disturbances on 'portfolio' diversification in Europe, under a single currency.

A simple dynamic general equilibrium model is set up in which firms face idiosyncratic productivity shocks. Firms whose productivity has fallen too low exit, and entrants try to imitate the best practice of existing firms, so that the expected productivity of entering firms is a function of...

Different identification schemes for monetary policy shocks have been proposed in the literature. They typically specify just-identifying restrictions in a standard structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) framework. Thus, in this framework the different schemes cannot be checked against the data...

Cross-country evidence is presented on resource dependence and the link between volatility and growth. First, growth depends negatively on volatility of unanticipated output growth independent of initial income per capita, the average investment share, initial human capital, trade openness, the...

I this paper I examine the transfer system that has developed in Russia since 1992. I ask how far transfers have been directed to regions most need of them, and how far transfers have been in offsetting disparities in pre-transfer revenues. The main results are that the direction of transfers...

Using the results of risk-adjusted linear-quadratic-Gaussian optimal control with perfect and imperfect observation of the economy, we obtain prudent Taylor rules for monetary policies and also allow for imperfect information and cautious Kalman filters. A prudent central bank adjusts the...

This paper develops statistical and computational tools for modelling returns forecasts to be used by a risk neutral investor. Any forecast with the same sign as the conditional mean optimises the loss function derived from this agents' decision problem, so the class of optimal predictors is...

This paper develops a quantitative, dynamic, open-economy model which endogenously generates high exchange rate volatility, whereas a low degree of pass-through stems from both nominal rigidities (in the form of local currency pricing) and price discrimination. We model real exchange rate...